Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Wyoming Hits 83.1% Graduation High -- But Trails the Latest National Benchmark

Wyoming's 4-year graduation rate hit 83.1% in 2024-25, the high in the state's available 2010-2025 package series, with the largest cohort and most graduates in that window.

Part of the Wyoming Graduation Rate series.

Wyoming graduated more students in 2024-25 than in any other year of the available 2010-2025 package series.

The 4-year on-time graduation rate reached 83.1%, the highest in the series, which begins with the 2009-10 school year. The 7,683 students in the 2025 cohort made it the largest class in that window, and the 6,385 who earned diplomas represented the most graduates in the series.

It took 12 years to get here. Wyoming's graduation rate bottomed out at 77.6% in 2012-13, then climbed for eight consecutive years -- the longest improvement streak in the available series -- reaching 82.4% by 2020-21. A two-year dip brought the rate back to 81.4% in 2022-23 before the current rebound pushed it past the previous ceiling.

Still, the milestone comes with a caveat: the latest national benchmark published by the National Center for Education Statistics is 87% for the 2021-22 school year, leaving Wyoming's 2025 rate 3.9 percentage points below that reference point. (NCES Condition of Education)

Wyoming 4-year graduation rate trend, 2010-2025

The eight-year climb

The improvement streak from 2013-14 through 2020-21 gained 4.8 percentage points -- not through dramatic leaps but through incremental yearly gains that ranged from 0.1 to 1.5 points. The streak survived the first two pandemic-era cohorts without a spike: Wyoming was at 82.3% in 2019-20 and 82.4% in 2020-21.

That makes the current all-time high a slow climb rather than a one-year distortion.

The streak finally broke in 2021-22 with a 0.6-point decline, followed by another 0.4-point drop in 2022-23. But the 2024-25 rebound of 1.5 points pushed the rate to its new peak.

Growing classes, growing numbers

The raw numbers tell an even clearer story than the rate itself. Wyoming's graduating cohort grew 14.1% from 2010 to 2025, adding 948 students. The number of graduates grew 17.9%, or by 969 diploma earners, as both the cohort and graduation rate increased.

Wyoming cohort size and graduate count, 2010-2025

In practical terms, the combination of a larger cohort and a higher rate means Wyoming produced 969 more graduates in 2025 than it did in 2010. That is nearly 1,000 additional diplomas in the endpoint year compared with 15 years earlier.

The national gap

The 3.9-point difference compares Wyoming's 2024-25 rate of 83.1% with NCES's latest national benchmark, 87% in 2021-22. It is a cross-year reference, not a same-year national comparison.

At Wyoming's 2025 cohort size, an 87% graduation rate would have meant about 300 more diploma earners than the state actually reported.

Year-over-year change in Wyoming graduation rate

The remaining distance

The 83.1% rate is the high point in Wyoming's available cohort data. Whether it rises again will depend on both cohort size and the share graduating on time.

A repeat of the 1.5-point gain Wyoming posted in 2024-25 would equal more than a third of the 3.9-point cross-year difference. That is arithmetic against a fixed benchmark, not a forecast of Wyoming or national rates.

Detailed code that reproduces the analysis and figures in this article is available exclusively to EdTribune subscribers.

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