Goshen County's 6-Year Decline Streak: From 87.7% to an All-Time Low of 75.8%

Goshen #1 in Torrington has the longest active decline streak in Wyoming, six consecutive years of falling graduation rates ending at an all-time low of 75.8% in 2025.

Part of the Wyoming Graduation Rate series.

Goshen #1↗ET in Torrington has posted a lower graduation rate every year since 2019, and the largest of those drops came last year.

The district's graduation rate has fallen for six consecutive years, from 87.7% in 2018-19 to an all-time low of 75.8% in 2024-25. The drops were small at first, 1.7, 1.7 and 0.6 points in the first three years, and larger in the last three, at 2.6, 2.1 and 3.2 points. The 3.2-point drop in 2025 was the largest of the six.

Goshen's 2025 cohort of 157 students was its largest since 2016, and 38 of those students did not graduate on time, up from 25 the year before. It is the only Wyoming district with a cohort over 100 students currently sitting at an all-time low. No other district in the state has an active decline streak longer than two years.

Goshen #1 vs state graduation rate, 2010-2025

The trajectory

In 2019, Goshen graduated 121 of the 138 students in its cohort, or 87.7%, well above the state average of 82.1%. Then each year brought another step down:

  • 2020: 86.0% (-1.7)
  • 2021: 84.3% (-1.7)
  • 2022: 83.7% (-0.6)
  • 2023: 81.1% (-2.6)
  • 2024: 79.0% (-2.1)
  • 2025: 75.8% (-3.2)

The total loss: 11.9 percentage points in six years. Wyoming moved the other way over the same stretch, from 82.1% in 2019 to 83.1% in 2025. A district that once exceeded the state average by 5.6 points now trails it by 7.3.

Goshen #1 year-over-year graduation rate change

What the decline means

The early years of a decline streak can be dismissed as regression to the mean, since a district that hit 87.7% might naturally settle back toward the mid-80s. The move past 80% and into the mid-70s is harder to read that way. A 75.8% graduation rate means roughly one in four students in the district is not graduating on time.

The 2025 drop of 3.2 points, the steepest in the six-year run, suggests whatever is driving the decline has not stabilized. At the average pace of the streak, about 2 points a year, Goshen would reach 70% within three years. Only three districts are below that line today: Fremont #21, Fremont #14 and Fremont #25, all in Fremont County and all serving the Wind River Reservation area.

The context

Goshen County sits in southeastern Wyoming along the Nebraska border, centered on the agricultural town of Torrington, whose population was 6,119 at the 2020 census. Eastern Wyoming College is based there. District enrollment has drifted down rather than dropped, from 1,763 students in 2015-16 to 1,582 in 2025-26.

Cohort size has moved around more than that overall enrollment has. It ranged from 119 students in 2024 to 165 in 2012, and the 2025 cohort of 157 was 32% larger than the year before, tracking a ninth-grade class of 152 students in 2021-22.

The decline is also not spread evenly across the district's four high schools. Torrington High School, which enrolls more than half the cohort, fell from 85.7% in 2019 to 72.7% in 2025. Lingle-Ft. Laramie High School rose over the same six years, from 80.8% to 83.9%, and Southeast High School graduated every student in its cohort in six of the seven years since 2019. Platte River School, the district's alternative school, first reported a graduating cohort in 2021 and has graduated between 38.5% and 71.4% of it since.

Before the current streak, Goshen's rate moved inside a narrower band. Across 2010 through 2019, the first ten years of four-year cohort data, it ranged from 78.6% to 87.7%, and it never fell more than two years in a row.

Detailed code that reproduces the analysis and figures in this article is available exclusively to EdTribune subscribers.

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